Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 13.423014 15.686286 18.156391 21.044791 24.321668 27.915622 32.147224
2025-05-11 9.448344 12.479973 16.138011 20.839179 26.678870 33.649646 42.550789
2025-05-18 7.062038 10.306764 14.549893 20.420075 28.232277 38.162249 51.610978
2025-05-25 5.474866 8.716468 13.258943 19.945101 29.363061 41.957527 59.832004
2025-06-01 4.337744 7.477446 12.160288 19.441897 30.217855 45.268475 67.489656
2025-06-08 3.370318 6.278298 10.884218 18.428333 30.118691 47.111775 73.117234
2025-06-15 2.990407 5.939048 10.844315 19.221705 32.685950 52.879680 84.655079
2025-06-22 2.601836 5.504203 10.569406 19.575268 34.561131 57.709060 95.091227
2025-06-29 2.169010 4.901046 9.910680 19.190550 35.181723 60.618431 102.764544
2025-07-06 1.761480 4.261322 9.083389 18.393752 35.007455 62.212690 108.437652
2025-07-13 1.654452 4.211206 9.330870 19.519064 38.163000 69.333378 123.250861
2025-07-20 1.544662 4.133294 9.509116 20.523654 41.171613 76.380485 138.321160
2025-07-27 1.360355 3.874263 9.335207 20.930111 43.309883 82.387673 152.535924
2025-08-03 1.153484 3.520780 8.923966 20.848761 44.598424 87.128995 165.122449
2025-08-10 0.957488 3.143056 8.394002 20.450963 45.238448 90.767134 176.053739
2025-08-17 0.791003 2.795958 7.867611 19.979088 45.665810 94.022883 186.486911
2025-08-24 0.651857 2.483747 7.362943 19.475785 45.959278 97.021512 196.608230
2025-08-31 0.513459 2.127530 6.677894 18.460799 45.079360 97.724668 202.570178
2025-09-07 0.473270 2.075297 6.766193 19.255394 48.078700 106.032741 223.018588
2025-09-14 0.420719 1.964569 6.677244 19.609495 50.151128 112.656321 240.659502
2025-09-21 0.351135 1.767800 6.310346 19.224196 50.548007 115.973163 252.184764
2025-09-28 0.281515 1.542316 5.811434 18.426189 49.922398 117.163619 259.646096
2025-10-05 0.270501 1.554008 6.033350 19.553207 53.845382 127.928865 286.409221